Joel on software black swan

My job, if you can believe this, was to stand on the left of mixer b, then catch the giant 180 kg lumps of dough as they flew out of the mixer in a big bathtubwithwheels, then roll the bathtub over to production line 6, and, using a winchlike device, heave the dough onto line 6. On april 1, aclaimants chief risk architect, gary pearce, presented a webinar about preparing for the next black swan event. Her mother was a wellknown opera singer, while her father owned several football teams. Major it projects are often victims to black swan events. We share what weve learned about how to make great software, both by writing about our ideas and by creating products, like fogbugz, trello and gomix, that help others make great technology.

May 09, 2012 in todays lean, justintime, and over optimized world, its not uncommon for executives roll their eyes when the term black swan is brought up in risk management discussions. Swan wave modelling dsd int 2020 for designing engineering structures such as breakwaters, storm surge barriers or levees, coastal engineers often need highquality, detailed wave information as represented by the significant wave height, wave period and mean direction or the twodimensional wave spectrum. The original poster is okay, but i really like daniel norriss version. Laura nolan talks about black swan events unforeseen, unanticipated, and catastrophic incidents that may happen in production and can take the system down. That assumption leads to a number of desirable characteristics, the foremost of which is that we can predict the behavior of the system to stay. Black swan data has 473 photos and videos on their instagram profile. And on diverse and occasionally related matters that will prove of interest to software developers, designers, and managers, and to those. A team of industry, technology and business experts have come together to develop this product. Unfortunately, you can advertise in all the right places, have a fantastic internship program, and interview all you want, but if the great programmers dont want to work for you, they aint gonna come work for you. Avram joel spolsky born 1965 is a software engineer and writer.

His technical background and business experience have allowed him to be successful moving from highlevel strategy to detailed execution seamlessly. The black swans of software engineering bob paulin. View caleb lewis profile on linkedin, the worlds largest professional community. To download the latest version of swan, either the source code or the setup wizards for swan, visit the swan website or click on the. With his soulsearching green eyes, shortcropped blond hair, perfectly chiseled face, and a tempting physique that hes unafraid to fully show off, joel swanner is our adonis model for the day. Commonly nicknamed the piano man after his first major hit and signature song of the same name, he has led a commercially successful career as a solo artist since the 1970s, having released twelve studio albums from 1971 to 1993 as well as one studio album in 2001. And we dont need to make a lot of noise to be noticed. Mar 23, 2020 the first eight weeks of 2020 unfolded with a blinding fury unseen in the history of the ria movement, and now covid19, a true black swan event, has us questioning everything albeit with the benefit of 2020 hindsight born of 20082009. In kyma, a user programs a multiprocessor dsp by graphically connecting modules on the screen of a macintosh or windows computer. The realism of space in black swan grand valley state. Feb, 2012 joel on software is one of my favorite blogs of all time but im scratching my head at this post. Project experience with dhl consulting joel, associate partner, describes dhl consultings first predictive analytics and data science project dhl consulting the inhouse consultancy for.

Instead we can be our unique black swan selves in order to have the real impact we are craving. We share what weve learned about how to make great software, both by writing about our ideas and by creating products, like fogbugz, trello and gomix, that help. We read an article about nassim nicholas taleb and his book the black swan, explains joel. William martin joel born may 9, 1949 is an american singersongwriter, composer, and pianist. The absolute minimum every software developer absolutely. Untitled gabriels wing robert longo, wings art, wings. The webinar, the latest in a series recently launched as part of the aclaimant knowledge network, elaborated on garys recent article as published in. Black swan secure transport free black swan png limited is a png based, privately owned, security company, that provides strategic security support to all market segments. Overdrive would like to use cookies to store information on your computer to improve your user experience at our website. Testing and the black swan january 6, 20 posted by peter varhol in software platforms. Culture and integration director at black swan holdings, llc.

Joel pettigrew is passionate about building software solutions because it allows him to help position products to be successful, solve complex issues, develop friendships, and see tangible results. Swan software solutions was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in carmel, indiana. There is no real limit on the number of letters that unicode can define and in fact they have gone beyond 65,536 so not every unicode letter can really be squeezed into two bytes, but that was a myth anyway. Someone once said that the task of a writer is to make the famil. The swan princess 25th anniversary bluray 1994 best buy. Keeping internet services online suffers from the problem of black swans. We think of black swan events as very rare, requiring a complex set of circumstances to occur in order for a disaster to happen. Cheddar and joel spolsky, ceo and cofounder of stack overflow, discuss technology, hiring, and jobs insights from the stack overflow developer survey 2017. Jan 22, 2008 keeping internet services online suffers from the problem of black swans. Blackswan technologies is a big data, cognitive computing and technology software house, specialising in the design, build and execution of sophisticated risk mitigation and value generation, intelligence based systems for financial institutions, governments, and large multinational organizations. Joel swanner is a 511 24year old male model from phoenix, arizona, usa. Adonismale model spotlight on joel swanner adonis models. When ham stumbles home riddled with bullets after a runin with the relentless john bishop ewan mcgregor and his gang, she knows they will not stop until. I prefered this more natural form of costume and is really more of an abstract interpretation of the ballerina.

Mar 25, 2010 i agree that joel totally threw the baby out with the bathwater in the ducttape programmer defense, but lets not disparage the state of software engineering. Black and gold aesthetic dark angel wings swan wings angel aesthetic aesthetic songs cartoon clip angel warrior back tattoo women black women art the bird and the wolf chapter four part 1 read chapter four part 1 from the story the bird and the wolf by ravenrobinson116 ravens writing with 90 reads. I would be interested to know if the management philosophy of fog creek software consultancy works in the same way as stack exchange web product, which i see as two different kinds of organizations. As an independent, privatelyowned company, weve been making customers happy since the turn of the century. Jane hammond natalie portman, academy award winner, 2011, best performance by an actress in a leading role, black swan has built a life on the rugged western plains with her husband bill ham hammond noah emmerich and young daughter.

There are maybe 40 posts and the book is about 350 pages. An aging king dakin matthews and a widowed queen sandy duncan arrange a marriage between his only daughter and her only son, despite the two childrens initial dislike of one another. Fluidmechanics section delft university of technology. He is an excellent writer and is able to convey his opinion often in. One of the cookies we use is critical for certain aspects of the site to operate and has already been set. As defined by taleb, a black swan is not just an unprecedented event but one with a large, widespread impact. Project estimation and black swans part 1 developsense blog.

Nassim taleb, who invented the term, defines it thus. Joel brings more than 20 years of business leadership and technology expertise to i2o. Black swans are negative risk results that are very unlikely to happen, but have a huge impact when they do occur. Preparing for the next black swan event on april 1, aclaimants chief risk architect, gary pearce, presented a webinar about preparing for the next black swan event. See the complete profile on linkedin and discover joels connections. I noted in a post a few days ago that complex systems are subject to what are known as black swan events. Trendscope uses predictive data science and proprietary natural language processing to analyze social data conversations that help businesses identify potential trends and customer behaviors.

Last week, joel joel on software spolsky wrote an article arguing that theres not much of a business case for developing mac software. Joel on software is a collection of joels blog posts. If youre considering doing a system rewrite there are a couple of posts that i would strongly recommend you read. The ria business for the most part does not need a black swan plan. Actress black swan natalie portman is the first person born in the 1980s to have won the academy award for best actress for black swan 2010. Why joel spolsky was wrong about duct tape programmers. Not only does it tap into black swans central theme of duality by counterbalancing a white dancers hand with the. Joel bruckensteins conference took the venue and time slot from td in san diego and felt nothing like a niche software event.

Lightspeed vt 11411 southern highlands parkway 2nd floor, las vegas, nevada 89141 rated 4. Barbara swanner barbara swanner was the head coach of the womens basketball team at louisiana state university lsu from 1979 to 1982. I happen to be rereading the black swan by nassim taleb and started to thinking about the black swans that i run into in the world of software. Maureen fitzsimons was born in 1920 near dublin, ireland. Kyma is a visual programming language for sound design used by musicians, researchers, and sound designers. A black swan is an outlier, an event that lies beyond the realm of normal expectations. Jan 06, 20 testing and the black swan january 6, 20 posted by peter varhol in software platforms.

See also joel spolskys post on monte carlo estimation at. Foto software a level art angels and demons gcse art angel art art. Oct 04, 2018 black swan 18 is a communications exercise aiming to test how well responders, emergency management agencies, and nongovernment organizations ngos activate, operate, and complete communication missions, specifically in terms of the volume, accuracy, and speed of radio traffic. Lamentably, the administration needs one significant capacity, keeping it from beating stellar or prosoft engineering read our prosoft engineering data rescue survey as the best allaround recovery apparatus.

Black swan data is a londonbased technology and data science company that produces a social prediction platform called trendscope. Natalie was born natalie hershlag on june 9, 1981, in jerusalem, israel. Its certainly much less disciplined than other forms of engineering, but thats simply a costbenefit tradeoff that seems reasonably close to optimal. By applying straightforward and repeatable rules, anyone can learn to make money in the markets whether bull, bear, or black swan by following the trend to the end when it bends. Black swan 18 is a communications exercise aiming to test how well responders, emergency management agencies, and nongovernment organizations ngos activate, operate, and complete communication missions, specifically in terms of. In this timely reboot of his bestselling classic, michael covel dives head first into trend following strategy to examine the risks, benefits, people, and systems. The core of talebs other books the black swan and antifragile can be found in this early work. Swan software solutions home swan software solutions. At the heart of joels philosophy is hiring smart people who get things done. Jul 10, 2018 black swan cargo drone has 800pound payload capacity svilen and konstantin rangelov have made the first plane designed in bulgaria in 70 years. Not surprising, given that his company only develops for windows, and that mr.

Jan 06, 20 posted by peter varhol in software platforms. The focus is on a hybridized model that blends patternbased and eventbased models for xml processing, as well as supporting the leading treebased models dom, jdom, dom4j, xom, etc. Black swan cargo drone has 800pound payload capacity. Joel spolsky ceo of stack overflow stephan dorner editorinchief the global dev community meets at wearedevelopers, an event. Dec 24, 2019 black swan 2010 director darren aronofsky takes no prisoners. Mar 30, 2017 cheddar and joel spolsky, ceo and cofounder of stack overflow, discuss technology, hiring, and jobs insights from the stack overflow developer survey 2017. View joel ossermans profile on linkedin, the worlds largest professional community. Swan software is by far the most simple, integrated and easy to use erp software in the. Jamaica inn maureen ohara 19202015 pictures cbs news.

The rise and fall of longterm capital management roger lowenstein. A black swan is an improbable and unexpected event that has three. View joel swans profile on linkedin, the worlds largest professional community. Spolsky formerly worked for microsoft developing windows software his argument. Dec 16, 2019 the black swan nassim nicholas taleb irrational exuberance robert j. We have a proven track record for helping over 250 clients build the custom application software solutions needed to grow their business. Fight back against black swan fatigue smartdata collective.

Joel has an opinion on everything and a fairly strong one. See the complete profile on linkedin and discover joels. I also founded fog creek software, one of the most influential small tech companies in the world. A small number of black swans, taleb writes, explain almost everything in our. Caleb lewis culture and integration director black swan. He was saying that our lives are made up of a handful of significant shocks, good or bad. So this section will serve as a kind of field guide to developers. So the user viewer doesnt get the complete input to make a conclusion at the end. If you would like a add a book to the list, please add it to the comments section below.

See a short overview of the model features of swan. The management team guest post from joel spolsky avc. Here are the movies from this list, which are flawed, or cant be explained logically. Thats because even though preparing for extreme events makes logical sense, theres also a cost associated with redundancy and robust disaster planning. Joel swann business development manager tmgroup uk. Throughout black swan, the camera follows nina in long handheld takes, leaving the viewers eyes to wander around the frame and, in a sense, discover the space with her. That, in a nutshell, is the black swan theory, from which athletes majestic fourth album takes its title. This list is in no way complete or in any particular order. Black swan cargo drone has 800pound payload capacity the drive. We need to stop trying to fit in with the white swans which we are all doing far more than we realize and its exhausting. When ham stumbles home riddled with bullets after a runin with the relentless john bishop ewan mcgregor and his.

Just a very quick drawing of the black swan from swan lake, based on a existing drawing of her from the net. Apr 01, 2011 as defined by taleb, a black swan is not just an unprecedented event but one with a large, widespread impact. Aug 07, 2017 project experience with dhl consulting joel, associate partner, describes dhl consultings first predictive analytics and data science project dhl consulting the inhouse consultancy for. Lost highway chasing sleep source code the movie existenz can be explained as long as it goes, but it ends kind of unexpectedly. As founder and former chief executive of onzo, a venturebacked startup providing energy data analytics, he has a deep understanding of the utilities sector and significant experience of building early stage companies and developing data analytics and control technologies. Almost all internet outages are unexpected unexpecteds. The black swan formula for impact with ease val nelson. This week weve compiled a list of what we consider to be 50 of the best investing books of all time. Making all posts independent makes it easy to pick up the book every now and then, read one, and move on. The swan princess is an animated, musical adaption of the fairy tale, swan lake. Black swan cargo drone has 800pound payload capacity svilen and konstantin rangelov have made the first plane designed in bulgaria in 70 years.